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A civilizational gains record · in development

The Lift

What humanity is building — disease eliminated, rights extended, ecosystems restored, knowledge made common — drawing on multiple independent sources, with disagreement shown rather than hidden, and costs honestly listed alongside every gain.

0M+
People lifted from extreme poverty since 1990
World Bank · $2.15 PPP line
0M
Fewer under-5 deaths each year vs 1990
UN IGME · annualised
0M+
Lives saved by smallpox eradication since 1980
WHO · cumulative
0
Year the ozone hole is projected to close
WMO/UNEP 2022 assessment
0%
Of global electricity now from renewables
IEA · 2024
Status: real data live for the humanity, country, indicator, and movers views · timeline + disputes still illustrative
Sources: World Bank · OWID · methodology →
Premise

No single place tracks what humanity is actually building. The pieces exist; the integration doesn't.

Our World in Data charts the trends. The World Bank publishes the macro numbers. The WHO records the disease eliminations. GAVI counts the vaccines. The IUCN tracks species recoveries. UNESCO holds the literacy series. Each project is excellent inside its scope. None of them, by themselves, gives a citizen a complete view of what is being lifted — by whom, by how much, and how durably.

The Lift combines them. Same record format, same verification standards, same lens for every gain — including the ones that are unglamorous, slow-burning, or located far from the centers of media attention.

We start with the visualization layer — the shape of what an integrated record makes possible. The ingestion pipeline is being designed alongside; live data flows incrementally as each source connector lands.

What was raised, by whom, by how much, and at what cost.

The discipline

View · Humanity as a whole

Before we split it by country — here's how we're doing as one species

No borders, no comparisons. Just the numbers for everyone alive, from the World Bank's world aggregate. Every figure here is real and sourced — fetched from the World Bank API, not estimated. Where a year has no data, it's left out rather than filled in.

If the world were 100 people

Latest available year, rounded to the nearest person.
SRC: World Bank · REAL

The average human — then and now

SRC: World Bank · REAL

The long arc

Real world-aggregate series. Hover a chart for its source.
SRC: World Bank · REAL

View · Build your own index

There is no single right way to score a country. So we don't.

This isn't a ranking, and it takes no position on anyone's politics. It's five real measures of how people actually live — grouped into outcomes and lived experience — each fetched from an established dataset, with the weighting left to you. Singapore, for instance, has long lives and high prosperity but among the longest working hours on earth; whether that nets out as "doing well" depends on what you value. We don't make that call — move the sliders and the map is yours.

Your composite

Real data, latest available year per country. Set the weights; hover any country for its components.
COMPONENTS: World Bank + OWID · REAL
Weight what you valueYour composite = the weighted average of the five real components below. Set any weight to zero to ignore it.
Equal Health & longevity Quality of life Material
Outcomes objective attainment
Life expectancy 50
years at birth · World Bank
Access 50
internet, power, water, literacy · World Bank
Prosperity 50
median income + poverty floor + GNI · OWID, World Bank
Lived experience what daily life feels like
Free time 50
fewer annual work hours · OWID
Life satisfaction 50
Cantril ladder · World Happiness Report
Lower
Higher Gold border = active armed conflict or institutional collapse
Real values per country, fetched from the World Bank and Our World in Data, each normalized to 0–10 by the published ranges above. The composite is yours — the weighted average of the components you care about. A country missing a source shows that component dark and is scored on the rest. Per-country history isn't pulled yet, so this shows the latest available year; the time scrubber returns when the historical series lands. Click any cell for the full country page with raw values.

View · Historical record

Twelve millennia of compounding gains, on a log scale

A curated selection of real, cited historical gains — each entry carries its sources, its costs, and (where scholarship disagrees on whether something even counts as a gain, e.g. agriculture or the Columbian Exchange) the dispute. The one estimated quantity is the dot size: "reach" is a deliberately coarse order-of-magnitude figure used only to scale the dots — not a measurement. The events and citations are the grounded part; the sizing is a reading aid.

Civilizational gains · across recorded history

Dot size = estimated reach, order of magnitude · switch the era chips to zoom in or out.
SRC: scholarly aggregation · ILLUSTRATIVE
Era All time50k BCE – 2026 Deep history50k BCE – 1500 Pre-modern1500 – 1900 Modern1900 – 2026
Filter Medical Scientific Rights Environmental Humanitarian Accessibility Agriculture Communication Governance Safety
Medical Scientific Rights Environmental Humanitarian Accessibility Agriculture Communication Governance Safety
Click any dot for full detail · drag the era chips to scrub time
The timeline is incomplete by construction. Every project assembling such a list has to make selection decisions — what counts as a population-scale gain, what threshold qualifies, how to handle gains with environmental or social costs. We expose the criteria rather than hide them, and let the disagreement live in the range itself.

View · Direction of travel

Where life expectancy changed most

Real change in life expectancy at birth, 2005 → latest, by country (World Bank). The biggest gains are concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa — Uganda, Ethiopia, South Africa — as the toll of the AIDS crisis receded and child mortality fell. The few declines come from war and economic collapse. Click any country for its full profile.

Life expectancy · change since 2005

Years gained or lost · from → to shown per country.
SRC: World Bank · REAL

View · Where sources disagree

Disputed magnitudes, surfaced rather than averaged

False precision in the positive direction is as much a distortion as false precision in the negative direction. When sources publish different numbers for the same gain, picking one is editorial. So we don't. Each panel shows every source's figure, the methodology behind it, and an honest finding that doesn't pretend more confidence than the evidence supports.

Source disagreement on magnitudes · selected gains

SRC: per-gain provenance · ILLUSTRATIVE

View · Structural lifts

The slow curves that compound across decades

Fifteen real world-aggregate series, grouped into six domains — every one fetched live from the World Bank, not estimated. Each is the slowest-moving signal in its domain, the kind of curve that rewards patient measurement. Click any panel for the full series and its source.

Domain All Health Access Prosperity Inclusion Environment Safety

View · Mechanisms of compounding

How gains actually happened

The same gains reorganized by the cultural design that produced them. Treaty cascades are different machines from vaccine campaigns; both differ from open standards. Reading the pattern matters: if we want more of the kind of gain on this page, we want more of the kind of arrangement that produced it. The question is structural — what compounds, and why.


View · Recent gains

The live ledger

A running feed of verified recent gains — each a real, dated, sourced milestone. This is the one part of the page that needs a live monitor rather than a downloadable dataset, so it's not built yet.

Recent verified gains

NOT YET LIVE
Empty on purpose.
This feed will list real, dated, sourced wins — a regulator approval, an IUCN status change, a disease elimination certified by the WHO. We won't fill it with invented examples. Until the monitor that finds and cites real milestones is built, it stays empty.

View · Treaty reach

What humanity has formally agreed on

A pattern emerges across the major rights-expansion and protection treaties: a few of them are nearly universally ratified. Whatever else is true about compliance and reservations, this is the body of conduct the world's states have collectively committed to.

Reach of core rights-expansion and protection treaties

SRC: UN Treaty Collection · OHCHR

View · Verification mix

How records are classified

Single-source records are not suppressed — they are flagged for what they are. The mix of tiers is itself an indicator: when too high a fraction is single-source, coverage is shallow; when too high a fraction is disputed, sources are diverging in ways worth investigating. For The Lift, adjudicated records get particular weight because regulator approvals and IUCN status changes are durable, time-stamped facts.

Distribution of current ledger records by verification tier

SRC: schema definition
target distribution
Multi-source≥2 independent sources, magnitude agreement within ±20%
52%
AdjudicatedRegulator approval, IUCN status change, treaty deposit, peace accord
18%
DisputedMultiple sources, material disagreement preserved
12%
Single-sourceOne source; surfaced with explicit tag
18%

View · Source coverage matrix

What each source can tell us

No source covers every category. The Lift's value is connecting the coverage that exists, not replacing any of the underlying projects — all of which we link, cite, and credit.

Source × category coverage

SRC: sources.json

Commitments

What this record is and isn't

A few load-bearing promises. A record of gains has to refuse to be marketing copy from the first day or it never earns trust.

The same lens, including the costs

If we count Haber-Bosch among the gains because it feeds half of humanity, we count its environmental costs in the same record. If we count the Green Revolution, we count its ecological and equity tradeoffs. A gain that needs to hide its costs is not a gain that holds up.

Provenance in every record

Every claim links to the underlying source, with caveats disclosed when known. We do not paraphrase past the source's confidence interval. We do not silently average estimates.

Working with, not against

OWID, World Bank, UN-SDG, WHO GHO, GAVI, IUCN, IEA, UNESCO UIS, IHME — these are the projects whose work this record stands on. Our job is connection and presentation, not replacement.

Public corrections log

When a record changes — a magnitude revised, an attribution corrected, a tier reclassified — the change is recorded with timestamp and reason in a public log. Optimistic numbers get retracted on the same record they were celebrated on.

Open methodology, open data

Every ingestion script, every normalization rule, every magnitude derivation is in the open. The data the public sees is the data the public can audit.

No corporate-sponsored gains

The Lift is foundation- and reader-supported. Companies whose products are part of the record (vaccine manufacturers, renewable-energy firms, gene-therapy developers) do not fund it. The funding sources are published.


Architecture

How the auto-pull-and-verify pipeline works

Four stages. Each is independent and replaceable. Records keep their full provenance chain end to end — at no point does a normalized record lose its connection to the underlying source document.

Source connectors

One connector per source. REST API where available (World Bank, UN SDG, WHO GHO, IUCN, ITU); CSV download on a schedule for annual datasets (UNESCO UIS, OWID, IHME); structured scrape plus LLM extraction for narrative or PDF sources (IPCC reports, GAVI impact pages). Each connector writes raw records to a per-source staging table.

Schema mapping

Per-source mapping rules translate raw records into the normalized gain schema (see methodology). Country names → ISO codes. Actors → canonical entity ids via embedding-based candidate matching plus LLM verification on edge cases. Original record kept alongside normalized form.

Gain triangulation

Records that describe the same gain are linked, not merged. Candidate matching by metric + actor + date + summary embedding. LLM verification pass. Output is a canonical gain with the list of source records, magnitude range across sources, and a confidence score derived from source count, agreement, and corroboration window.

Tier + render

Verification tier computed: multi, single, disputed, adjudicated. Records flow into the public ledger with full provenance and any disagreement preserved. Every change writes a row in the corrections log, which is public and queryable.


Build plan

What ships next

Order matters. The first connectors are the structural backbone — once they're flowing, everything else is incremental.

  1. World Bank Open Data + OWID connectors
    Two macro-indicator sources with clean APIs. Standing them up together lets the heatmap and structural panels populate from day one.
  2. UN IGME + WHO GHO ingest
    Country-year backbone for the healthspan dimension of the composite — child mortality, life expectancy, vaccine coverage. Annual cadence; stable, well-documented.
  3. UNESCO UIS + ITU ingest
    Access dimension: literacy, schooling, internet usage. Annual cadence.
  4. FDA / EMA approval feed
    Adjudicated tier records arrive directly from regulator publication. Includes generic and biosimilar approvals where access expansion is the gain.
  5. IUCN Red List + species recovery feed
    Status changes (especially downlistings — Endangered → Vulnerable, Vulnerable → Near Threatened) are events worth tracking. The Green Status of Species (added 2021) measures recovery potential.
  6. Magnitude scoring
    A gain's magnitude is population reach × durability × evidence quality. The scoring rules are published, contested in the open, and revised in the corrections log when assumptions change.
  7. Costs-alongside-gains discipline
    Every gain entry has a 'costs' field. Empty is allowed; missing is not. This is the discipline that distinguishes a serious gains record from progress-movement marketing.
  8. Public corrections log
    Every change to a published gain record — magnitude revised, tier reclassified, source added — writes a row to a queryable public log. The page links to this from every record.
  9. Independent governance
    An advisory board drawn from progress studies, public health, conservation biology, and rights work. Publishes the funding sources. Reviews the scoring weights and the source caveat disclosures. This is the cultural design that lets the record outlive any one author.